During a chat yesterday, a friend mentioned that the price of cotton yarn had fallen. Twenty-five It is the lowest in years, that is to say, probably. One thousand nine hundred and ninety-four So far, the price has not been recovered for a long time, but in recent years, people's cotton yarn has long been broken down. Two thousand and ten This is also true for viscose staple fibres.

Figure 2010-2019 comparison of viscose staple price trend

Viscose staple fiber step by step below the full cost, and gradually to the production cost test water, since late last week, big factory low sales of non excellent products to promote a batch of transactions, at the beginning of the weekend, the four main domestic enterprises have successively bid, of which high-end is scheduled to 10700 yuan / ton Acceptance, medium and high end 10550-10600 yuan / ton Acceptance, Xinjiang sent to the mainland 10400 yuan / ton The acceptance will be driven by three levels of price, and the turnover of each enterprise will account for the monthly output of the enterprise. 100%-130% On the low side. 70% Above. On Wednesday, the number of enterprises restricted sign increased, and some of the offer increased moderately to 100 yuan. At this point, the market is expected to gradually increase the viscose staple fiber's bottom touch. This seems to be no doubt, but the main problem is the duration of the rebound.

Table viscose staple fiber Nine Monthly supply and demand forecast table

Unit: ton

Two thousand and nineteen year 1-7 Monthly viscose staple fiber exports increased year-on-year 14.02% Among them 5-7 During the month, the export volume of single month could reach as high as that of the same month. 30% In addition to the factors leading to the early release of part of the demand due to the addition of a tariff list to the United States, the devaluation of the renminbi is partly and partly conservative. Nine The export of viscose staple fiber is also in the month. Four Over 10000 tons. If you want to Nine Industry maintenance at the end of the month Five In the near future, the inventory will ease the downward pressure on demand. Nine Total sales in the month need up to Forty Ten thousand tons. at present Four The company basically fulfilled the price ahead of time. 33% The companies that are counting on subsequent bid sales can barely reach them. 50% 。

The problem is coming. Twenty The supply of viscose staple fibres will be promoted again in the late part of this month after the phased upward movement. But no matter what the plan is, if the demand for spinning and weaving orders is still normal in September, it will probably cause. Nine At the end of the month, the stock of viscose staple fiber industry increased again. Fifteen Days above, so give Ten The viscose staple fiber market is making more pressure in April.

The key point seems to be placed on demand again. In view of the current price of viscose staple fiber, most spinning reflects that the processing fee of its own yarn has not been effectively alleviated. Even though viscose staple fiber can rebound due to the current stage of bottoming, yarn enterprises do not seem to have great hopes for the terminal to purchase large quantities of its own products due to the increase in viscose price. The following loose monetary and fiscal policies exist, but the sluggish demand in the market is likely to cause stagflation.

Finally, at the same time, we need to be vigilant. Under the condition of breaking down the cost line, viscose staple fiber does not exclude that there will be an increase in production restriction in the future. After all, because demand can not drive the volume of turnover, the viscose staple fiber market will reduce its supply.