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The Substitution Effect Of Cotton Is Not Strong; &Nbsp; Polyester Short Profit Cost Upside Down.

2011/11/16 15:10:00 11

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The successive establishment of the Greek and Italy governments has boosted market confidence to a certain extent, but has not changed the potential worries of market participants on the European debt crisis.

Recently, domestic polyester staple market is still in the market.

Weakness

Adjustment, although in the upstream raw materials and polyester and chips market atmosphere driven, production and marketing has been briefly improved, but the terminal demand is difficult to fundamentally improve, most domestic polyester yarn and fiber production plant production and sales rate hovering at the level of 50-60%.

The average stock of polyester yarn is 14-20 days.

China's polyester fiber and yarn production plants have been reduced to 67% and 80% respectively.

Orders have been sluggish, and terminal sales have been sluggish, prompting manufacturers to be more pessimistic about the short and short term market. Price reduction promotion and limited production and insurance price have become the main channel to ease the market.

Instead, cotton is playing the farce of "bumper harvest, cotton cheap injury to farmers".

Price

Even after breaking down the 19800 yuan / ton storage price, cotton growers began to change their minds and plan to convert cotton into grain, which will prompt the next year.

cotton

The situation of supply shortage is on the rise again. Such a vicious circle will make the later trend of chemical fiber more complicated. This requires that chemical fiber enterprises, cotton planting owners and even the relevant departments of the state assist, so as to change the business mode and co-ordinate the later development pattern.

At present, the trend of upstream polyester raw materials is volatile, cost supporting fatigue, theoretical cost price and spot price have 350 yuan / ton cash flow deficit space, the current mainstream price of Jiangsu and Zhejiang market is 10800 yuan / ton, unchanged from yesterday, the market wait-and-see atmosphere is strong.

Zhao Guizhen, a market analyst for long polyester polysilicon industry chain, believes that there is little demand for short and short profits, and the demand for downstream yarn is hard to lift. It is unlikely that the short term polyester and short cut will rise sharply. It will linger around 10500-11000 yuan / ton in the near future.